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Today is the anniversary of the blizzard of 78. We got 54" over 2 days in rhode island and the state was closed for a week while the national guard cleared roads. That was a great week:D Two storms merged and stalled as is possible but not likely with this one on friday:D
 
AT THIS POINT...THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS DUE TO ABOVE MENTIONED UNCERTAINTY...BUT THERE IS ENOUGH
CONFIDENCE AT THIS POINT TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF CT...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR 18 TO 24 INCHES AS MOST OF THE QPF WOULD BE IN THE
FORM OF SNOW. ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...THE REGION MAY BE IN
HEAVY BANDING LESS TIME THAN FARTHER EAST...WITH A RANGE OF 8 TO 16
INCHES. A SIMILAR RANGE IS LIKELY ACROSS COASTAL CT...BUT DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN TRANSITION TIMING FROM RAIN TO SNOW.

THE MOST UNCERTAINTY IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IS TOWARDS THE
CITY/LI...WHERE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER AND LOCATION/DURATION OF
BANDING WILL BE CRITICAL. A DIFFERENCE IN LOCATION AND/OR TIMING OF
EVEN 3 HRS IN THIS BANDING...COULD BE THE DIFFERENCE IN NOTHING
VERSUS 6 INCHES OF SNOW. ENOUGH POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 6 INCHES OF
SNOW ACROSS THE NYC METRO AND LI FOR A WATCH. IF TIMING OF PHASING
IS A BIT SLOWER...THAN WE COULD BE LOOKING AT ONLY ADVISORY LEVELS
SNOWFALL...WHILE IF IT IS FASTER THAN FORECAST WE COULD SEE 6 TO 12
INCHES OF SNOW.
 
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